‹ 2025-04-05 · 2024-25 season
MIL @ MIA
Milwaukee Bucks
49% – 51%
pre-game win probability · home CI [25–79%]
Miami Heat
Result
MIL 121 — 115 MIA
Model favored MIA (51%) — upset ✗
| Team | Δ rating |
|---|---|
| MIL | +12.9 |
| MIA | -13.1 |
Season series
| Date | Matchup | Pre-game | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-26 | MIL @ MIA | MIA 66% | 106-103 |
| 2025-01-23 | MIA @ MIL | MIL 74% | 96-125 |
| 2025-02-23 | MIA @ MIL | MIL 72% | 113-120 |
| 2025-04-05 | MIL @ MIA | MIA 51% | 121-115 |