nbaelo_
glicko-defaults Glicko-2

‹ 2026-03-08 · 2025-26 season

DET @ MIA

Detroit Pistons
1670 ± 157
52% – 48%
pre-game win probability · home CI [22–77%]
Miami Heat
1556 ± 153

Result

DET 110 — 121 MIA
Model favored DET (52%) — upset ✗
TeamΔ rating
DET-21.3
MIA+20.7

Season series

DateMatchupPre-gameResult
2025-11-29 DET @ MIA MIA 63% 138-135
2026-01-01 MIA @ DET DET 77% 118-112
2026-03-08 DET @ MIA DET 52% 110-121