nbaelo_
glicko-defaults Glicko-2

‹ 2026-03-14 · 2025-26 season

ORL @ MIA

Orlando Magic
1591 ± 153
37% – 63%
pre-game win probability · home CI [36–87%]
Miami Heat
1591 ± 153

Result

ORL 121 — 117 MIA
Model favored MIA (63%) — upset ✗
TeamΔ rating
ORL+18.0
MIA-18.0

Season series

DateMatchupPre-gameResult
2025-10-22 MIA @ ORL ORL 69% 121-125
2025-12-05 MIA @ ORL ORL 59% 105-106
2025-12-09 MIA @ ORL ORL 66% 108-117
2026-01-28 ORL @ MIA MIA 74% 133-124
2026-03-14 ORL @ MIA MIA 63% 121-117