nbaelo_
glicko-defaults Glicko-2

‹ 2025-12-09 · 2025-26 season

MIA @ ORL

Miami Heat
1561 ± 169
34% – 66%
pre-game win probability · home CI [36–89%]
Orlando Magic
1584 ± 165

Result

MIA 108 — 117 ORL
Model favored ORL (66%) — correct ✓
TeamΔ rating
MIA-16.7
ORL+15.9

Season series

DateMatchupPre-gameResult
2025-10-22 MIA @ ORL ORL 69% 121-125
2025-12-05 MIA @ ORL ORL 59% 105-106
2025-12-09 MIA @ ORL ORL 66% 108-117
2026-01-28 ORL @ MIA MIA 74% 133-124
2026-03-14 ORL @ MIA MIA 63% 121-117