Games
Win probabilities from Glicko-2 ratings going into each game — 2025-11-16.
Closest matchup
ATL @ PHX · 57% PHX
Biggest favorite
HOU 79% vs ORL
Biggest upset
ATL won as a 57% underdog's opponent
| Matchup | Win probability | Result | Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAC
@
 BOS
|
BOS 71% | 118-121 | ✓ | |
 SAC
@
 SAS
|
SAS 79% | 110-123 | ✓ | |
 BKN
@
 WAS
|
WAS 60% | 129-106 | ✗ | |
 ORL
@
 HOU
|
HOU 79% | 113-117 | ✓ | |
 GSW
@
 NOP
|
GSW 78% | 124-106 | ✓ | |
 POR
@
 DAL
|
POR 72% | 133-138 | ✗ | |
 ATL
@
 PHX
|
PHX 57% | 124-122 | ✗ | |
 CHI
@
 UTA
|
CHI 63% | 147-150 | ✗ |