Games
Win probabilities from Glicko-2 ratings going into each game — 2025-11-21.
Closest matchup
MIN @ PHX · 53% PHX
Biggest favorite
TOR 95% vs WAS
Biggest upset
MIA won as a 58% underdog's opponent
| Matchup | Win probability | Result | Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 IND
@
 CLE
|
CLE 88% | 109-120 | ✓ | |
 BKN
@
 BOS
|
BOS 89% | 113-105 | ✗ | |
 WAS
@
 TOR
|
TOR 95% | 110-140 | ✓ | |
 MIA
@
 CHI
|
CHI 58% | 143-107 | ✗ | |
 NOP
@
 DAL
|
DAL 68% | 115-118 | ✓ | |
 MIN
@
 PHX
|
PHX 53% | 113-114 | ✓ | |
 DEN
@
 HOU
|
HOU 61% | 112-109 | ✗ | |
 OKC
@
 UTA
|
OKC 89% | 144-112 | ✓ | |
 POR
@
 GSW
|
GSW 76% | 127-123 | ✗ |