Games
Win probabilities from Glicko-2 ratings going into each game — 2025-11-24.
Closest matchup
HOU @ PHX · 51% PHX
Biggest favorite
MIA 92% vs DAL
Biggest upset
HOU won as a 51% underdog's opponent
| Matchup | Win probability | Result | Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
DET 83% | 122-117 | ✓ | |
|
|
TOR 61% | 99-110 | ✓ | |
|
|
NYK 74% | 113-100 | ✓ | |
|
|
MIA 92% | 102-106 | ✓ | |
|
|
DEN 72% | 125-115 | ✓ | |
|
|
MIL 62% | 115-103 | ✗ | |
|
|
CHI 76% | 130-143 | ✗ | |
|
|
PHX 51% | 114-92 | ✗ | |
|
|
GSW 83% | 117-134 | ✓ | |
|
|
MIN 60% | 112-117 | ✗ |