Games
Win probabilities from Glicko-2 ratings going into each game — 2025-11-29.
Closest matchup
DEN @ PHX · 51% PHX
Biggest favorite
GSW 89% vs NOP
Biggest upset
DEN won as a 51% underdog's opponent
| Matchup | Win probability | Result | Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 BOS
@
 MIN
|
MIN 64% | 115-119 | ✓ | |
 TOR
@
 CHA
|
TOR 80% | 111-118 | ✗ | |
 CHI
@
 IND
|
CHI 55% | 101-103 | ✗ | |
 DET
@
 MIA
|
MIA 63% | 138-135 | ✗ | |
 BKN
@
 MIL
|
MIL 82% | 99-116 | ✓ | |
 NOP
@
 GSW
|
GSW 89% | 96-104 | ✓ | |
 DEN
@
 PHX
|
PHX 51% | 130-112 | ✗ | |
 DAL
@
 LAC
|
LAC 71% | 114-110 | ✗ |