Games
Win probabilities from Glicko-2 ratings going into each game — 2025-12-05.
Closest matchup
SAS @ CLE · 50% CLE
Biggest favorite
OKC 96% vs DAL
Biggest upset
BOS won as a 52% underdog's opponent
| Matchup | Win probability | Result | Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAL
@
 BOS
|
LAL 52% | 105-126 | ✗ | |
 MIA
@
 ORL
|
ORL 59% | 105-106 | ✓ | |
 DEN
@
 ATL
|
DEN 53% | 134-133 | ✓ | |
 SAS
@
 CLE
|
CLE 50% | 117-130 | ✓ | |
 POR
@
 DET
|
DET 80% | 116-122 | ✓ | |
 UTA
@
 NYK
|
NYK 82% | 112-146 | ✓ | |
 CHA
@
 TOR
|
TOR 89% | 111-86 | ✗ | |
 IND
@
 CHI
|
CHI 70% | 120-105 | ✗ | |
 PHX
@
 HOU
|
HOU 74% | 98-117 | ✓ | |
 LAC
@
 MEM
|
MEM 74% | 98-107 | ✓ | |
 PHI
@
 MIL
|
MIL 57% | 116-101 | ✗ | |
 DAL
@
 OKC
|
OKC 96% | 111-132 | ✓ |