Games
Win probabilities from Glicko-2 ratings going into each game — 2025-12-11.
Closest matchup
BOS @ MIL · 63% BOS
Biggest favorite
HOU 91% vs LAC
Biggest upset
MIL won as a 63% underdog's opponent
| Matchup | Win probability | Result | Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAC
@
 HOU
|
HOU 91% | 113-115 | ✓ | |
 BOS
@
 MIL
|
BOS 63% | 101-116 | ✗ | |
 POR
@
 NOP
|
POR 72% | 120-143 | ✗ | |
 DEN
@
 SAC
|
DEN 74% | 136-105 | ✓ |