Games
Win probabilities from Glicko-2 ratings going into each game — 2025-12-25.
Closest matchup
MIN @ DEN · 65% DEN
Biggest favorite
NYK 79% vs CLE
Biggest upset
HOU won as a 69% underdog's opponent
| Matchup | Win probability | Result | Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 CLE
@
 NYK
|
NYK 79% | 124-126 | ✓ | |
 SAS
@
 OKC
|
OKC 72% | 117-102 | ✗ | |
 DAL
@
 GSW
|
GSW 74% | 116-126 | ✓ | |
 HOU
@
 LAL
|
LAL 69% | 119-96 | ✗ | |
 MIN
@
 DEN
|
DEN 65% | 138-142 | ✓ |