Games
Win probabilities from Glicko-2 ratings going into each game — 2025-12-27.
Closest matchup
DAL @ SAC · 54% SAC
Biggest favorite
SAS 90% vs UTA
Biggest upset
ORL won as a 55% underdog's opponent
| Matchup | Win probability | Result | Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 DAL
@
 SAC
|
SAC 54% | 107-113 | ✓ | |
 DEN
@
 ORL
|
DEN 55% | 126-127 | ✗ | |
 PHX
@
 NOP
|
PHX 70% | 123-114 | ✓ | |
 NYK
@
 ATL
|
NYK 66% | 128-125 | ✓ | |
 IND
@
 MIA
|
MIA 84% | 116-142 | ✓ | |
 MIL
@
 CHI
|
CHI 72% | 112-103 | ✗ | |
 CLE
@
 HOU
|
HOU 77% | 100-117 | ✓ | |
 BKN
@
 MIN
|
MIN 87% | 123-107 | ✗ | |
 UTA
@
 SAS
|
SAS 90% | 127-114 | ✗ |