Games
Win probabilities from Glicko-2 ratings going into each game — 2026-01-03.
Closest matchup
BOS @ LAC · 55% BOS
Biggest favorite
SAS 85% vs POR
Biggest upset
MIN won as a 60% underdog's opponent
| Matchup | Win probability | Result | Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
MIA 60% | 125-115 | ✗ | |
|
|
NYK 75% | 130-119 | ✗ | |
|
|
TOR 69% | 117-134 | ✓ | |
|
|
CHI 77% | 112-99 | ✗ | |
|
|
SAS 85% | 115-110 | ✗ | |
|
|
HOU 68% | 104-110 | ✗ | |
|
|
GSW 76% | 114-123 | ✓ | |
|
|
BOS 55% | 146-115 | ✓ |