Games
Win probabilities from Glicko-2 ratings going into each game — 2026-01-05.
Closest matchup
GSW @ LAC · 51% LAC
Biggest favorite
OKC 93% vs CHA
Biggest upset
DEN won as a 56% underdog's opponent
| Matchup | Win probability | Result | Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 NYK
@
 DET
|
DET 70% | 90-121 | ✓ | |
 CHI
@
 BOS
|
BOS 83% | 101-115 | ✓ | |
 ATL
@
 TOR
|
TOR 72% | 100-118 | ✓ | |
 PHX
@
 HOU
|
HOU 59% | 97-100 | ✓ | |
 CHA
@
 OKC
|
OKC 93% | 124-97 | ✗ | |
 DEN
@
 PHI
|
PHI 56% | 125-124 | ✗ | |
 GSW
@
 LAC
|
LAC 51% | 102-103 | ✓ | |
 UTA
@
 POR
|
POR 73% | 117-137 | ✓ |