Games
Win probabilities from Glicko-2 ratings going into each game — 2026-02-21.
Closest matchup
PHI @ NOP · 59% PHI
Biggest favorite
SAS 95% vs SAC
Biggest upset
NOP won as a 59% underdog's opponent
| Matchup | Win probability | Result | Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 ORL
@
 PHX
|
PHX 71% | 110-113 | ✓ | |
 PHI
@
 NOP
|
PHI 59% | 111-126 | ✗ | |
 MEM
@
 MIA
|
MIA 79% | 120-136 | ✓ | |
 DET
@
 CHI
|
DET 77% | 126-110 | ✓ | |
 SAC
@
 SAS
|
SAS 95% | 122-139 | ✓ | |
 HOU
@
 NYK
|
NYK 61% | 106-108 | ✓ |