Games
Win probabilities from Glicko-2 ratings going into each game — 2026-03-16.
Closest matchup
GSW @ WAS · 59% GSW
Biggest favorite
BOS 73% vs PHX
Biggest upset
LAL won as a 61% underdog's opponent
| Matchup | Win probability | Result | Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 ORL
@
 ATL
|
ATL 59% | 112-124 | ✓ | |
 GSW
@
 WAS
|
GSW 59% | 125-117 | ✓ | |
 POR
@
 BKN
|
POR 62% | 114-95 | ✓ | |
 PHX
@
 BOS
|
BOS 73% | 112-120 | ✓ | |
 MEM
@
 CHI
|
CHI 73% | 107-132 | ✓ | |
 DAL
@
 NOP
|
NOP 72% | 111-129 | ✓ | |
 LAL
@
 HOU
|
HOU 61% | 100-92 | ✗ | |
 SAS
@
 LAC
|
SAS 60% | 119-115 | ✓ |