Games
Win probabilities from Glicko-2 ratings going into each game — 2026-03-21.
Closest matchup
LAL @ ORL · 51% ORL
Biggest favorite
SAS 97% vs IND
Biggest upset
LAL won as a 51% underdog's opponent
| Matchup | Win probability | Result | Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 OKC
@
 WAS
|
OKC 91% | 132-111 | ✓ | |
 MEM
@
 CHA
|
CHA 90% | 101-124 | ✓ | |
 LAL
@
 ORL
|
ORL 51% | 105-104 | ✗ | |
 CLE
@
 NOP
|
CLE 55% | 111-106 | ✓ | |
 GSW
@
 ATL
|
ATL 79% | 110-126 | ✓ | |
 MIA
@
 HOU
|
HOU 67% | 122-123 | ✓ | |
 IND
@
 SAS
|
SAS 97% | 119-134 | ✓ | |
 LAC
@
 DAL
|
LAC 62% | 138-131 | ✓ | |
 PHI
@
 UTA
|
PHI 64% | 126-116 | ✓ | |
 MIL
@
 PHX
|
PHX 78% | 108-105 | ✗ |