Games
Win probabilities from Glicko-2 ratings going into each game — 2026-03-23.
Closest matchup
GSW @ DAL · 51% DAL
Biggest favorite
ORL 91% vs IND
Biggest upset
GSW won as a 51% underdog's opponent
| Matchup | Win probability | Result | Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 MEM
@
 ATL
|
ATL 89% | 107-146 | ✓ | |
 LAL
@
 DET
|
DET 62% | 110-113 | ✓ | |
 IND
@
 ORL
|
ORL 91% | 128-126 | ✗ | |
 OKC
@
 PHI
|
OKC 69% | 123-103 | ✓ | |
 SAS
@
 MIA
|
SAS 69% | 136-111 | ✓ | |
 HOU
@
 CHI
|
HOU 65% | 124-132 | ✗ | |
 TOR
@
 UTA
|
TOR 66% | 143-127 | ✓ | |
 GSW
@
 DAL
|
DAL 51% | 137-131 | ✗ | |
 BKN
@
 POR
|
POR 87% | 99-134 | ✓ | |
 MIL
@
 LAC
|
LAC 77% | 96-129 | ✓ |