Games
Win probabilities from Glicko-2 ratings going into each game — 2026-04-04.
Closest matchup
DET @ PHI · 54% DET
Biggest favorite
MIA 88% vs WAS
Biggest upset
DEN won as a 61% underdog's opponent
| Matchup | Win probability | Result | Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 WAS
@
 MIA
|
MIA 88% | 136-152 | ✓ | |
 SAS
@
 DEN
|
SAS 61% | 134-136 | ✗ | |
 DET
@
 PHI
|
DET 54% | 116-93 | ✓ |