Games
Win probabilities from Glicko-2 ratings going into each game — 2026-04-07.
Closest matchup
CHI @ WAS · 50% CHI
Biggest favorite
LAC 85% vs DAL
Biggest upset
HOU won as a 51% underdog's opponent
| Matchup | Win probability | Result | Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 CHI
@
 WAS
|
CHI 50% | 129-98 | ✓ | |
 CHA
@
 BOS
|
BOS 72% | 102-113 | ✓ | |
 MIL
@
 BKN
|
MIL 54% | 90-96 | ✗ | |
 MIA
@
 TOR
|
TOR 63% | 95-121 | ✓ | |
 MIN
@
 IND
|
MIN 70% | 124-104 | ✓ | |
 UTA
@
 NOP
|
NOP 78% | 137-156 | ✓ | |
 SAC
@
 GSW
|
GSW 72% | 105-110 | ✓ | |
 OKC
@
 LAL
|
OKC 58% | 123-87 | ✓ | |
 DAL
@
 LAC
|
LAC 85% | 103-116 | ✓ | |
 HOU
@
 PHX
|
PHX 51% | 119-105 | ✗ |