‹ 2025-11-12 · 2025-26 season
CLE @ MIA
Cleveland Cavaliers
38% – 62%
pre-game win probability · home CI [27–90%]
Miami Heat
Result
CLE 130 — 116 MIA
Model favored MIA (62%) — upset ✗
| Team | Δ rating |
|---|---|
| CLE | +30.7 |
| MIA | -31.0 |
Season series
| Date | Matchup | Pre-game | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 | CLE @ MIA | MIA 55% | 138-140 |
| 2025-11-12 | CLE @ MIA | MIA 62% | 130-116 |
| 2026-03-25 | MIA @ CLE | CLE 77% | 120-103 |
| 2026-03-27 | MIA @ CLE | CLE 72% | 128-149 |