Games
Win probabilities from Glicko-2 ratings going into each game — 2025-11-12.
Closest matchup
ATL @ SAC · 50% ATL
Biggest favorite
HOU 94% vs WAS
Biggest upset
CLE won as a 62% underdog's opponent
| Matchup | Win probability | Result | Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 MIL
@
 CHA
|
MIL 76% | 100-111 | ✗ | |
 CHI
@
 DET
|
DET 74% | 113-124 | ✓ | |
 ORL
@
 NYK
|
NYK 82% | 124-107 | ✗ | |
 MEM
@
 BOS
|
BOS 71% | 95-131 | ✓ | |
 CLE
@
 MIA
|
MIA 62% | 130-116 | ✗ | |
 WAS
@
 HOU
|
HOU 94% | 112-135 | ✓ | |
 POR
@
 NOP
|
POR 69% | 125-117 | ✓ | |
 GSW
@
 SAS
|
SAS 71% | 125-120 | ✗ | |
 PHX
@
 DAL
|
PHX 60% | 123-114 | ✓ | |
 LAL
@
 OKC
|
OKC 81% | 92-121 | ✓ | |
 ATL
@
 SAC
|
ATL 50% | 133-100 | ✓ | |
 DEN
@
 LAC
|
DEN 75% | 130-116 | ✓ |