‹ 2025-12-29 · 2025-26 season
DEN @ MIA
Denver Nuggets
57% – 43%
pre-game win probability · home CI [17–75%]
Miami Heat
Result
DEN 123 — 147 MIA
Model favored DEN (57%) — upset ✗
| Team | Δ rating |
|---|---|
| DEN | -25.5 |
| MIA | +23.7 |
Season series
| Date | Matchup | Pre-game | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-05 | MIA @ DEN | DEN 72% | 112-122 |
| 2025-12-29 | DEN @ MIA | DEN 57% | 123-147 |