Games
Win probabilities from Glicko-2 ratings going into each game — 2025-12-29.
Closest matchup
GSW @ BKN · 53% GSW
Biggest favorite
OKC 92% vs ATL
Biggest upset
MIA won as a 57% underdog's opponent
| Matchup | Win probability | Result | Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 MIL
@
 CHA
|
CHA 59% | 123-113 | ✗ | |
 PHX
@
 WAS
|
PHX 73% | 115-101 | ✓ | |
 GSW
@
 BKN
|
GSW 53% | 120-107 | ✓ | |
 DEN
@
 MIA
|
DEN 57% | 123-147 | ✗ | |
 ORL
@
 TOR
|
TOR 55% | 106-107 | ✓ | |
 MIN
@
 CHI
|
MIN 56% | 136-101 | ✓ | |
 IND
@
 HOU
|
HOU 91% | 119-126 | ✓ | |
 NYK
@
 NOP
|
NYK 77% | 130-125 | ✓ | |
 ATL
@
 OKC
|
OKC 92% | 129-140 | ✓ | |
 CLE
@
 SAS
|
SAS 87% | 113-101 | ✗ | |
 DAL
@
 POR
|
POR 70% | 122-125 | ✓ |