‹ 2026-01-01 · 2025-26 season
MIA @ DET
Miami Heat
23% – 77%
pre-game win probability · home CI [52–94%]
Detroit Pistons
Result
MIA 118 — 112 DET
Model favored DET (77%) — upset ✗
| Team | Δ rating |
|---|---|
| MIA | +26.2 |
| DET | -28.4 |
Season series
| Date | Matchup | Pre-game | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 | DET @ MIA | MIA 63% | 138-135 |
| 2026-01-01 | MIA @ DET | DET 77% | 118-112 |
| 2026-03-08 | DET @ MIA | DET 52% | 110-121 |