Games
Win probabilities from Glicko-2 ratings going into each game — 2026-01-01.
Closest matchup
PHI @ DAL · 50% PHI
Biggest favorite
DET 77% vs MIA
Biggest upset
MIA won as a 77% underdog's opponent
| Matchup | Win probability | Result | Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
HOU 66% | 120-96 | ✓ | |
|
|
DET 77% | 118-112 | ✗ | |
|
|
PHI 50% | 123-108 | ✓ | |
|
|
BOS 68% | 120-106 | ✓ | |
|
|
LAC 64% | 101-118 | ✓ |