Games
Win probabilities from Glicko-2 ratings going into each game — 2025-12-31.
Closest matchup
DEN @ TOR · 50% DEN
Biggest favorite
OKC 89% vs POR
Biggest upset
CLE won as a 53% underdog's opponent
| Matchup | Win probability | Result | Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 GSW
@
 CHA
|
GSW 60% | 132-125 | ✓ | |
 MIN
@
 ATL
|
MIN 63% | 102-126 | ✗ | |
 ORL
@
 IND
|
ORL 72% | 112-110 | ✓ | |
 PHX
@
 CLE
|
PHX 53% | 113-129 | ✗ | |
 NOP
@
 CHI
|
CHI 76% | 118-134 | ✓ | |
 NYK
@
 SAS
|
SAS 66% | 132-134 | ✓ | |
 DEN
@
 TOR
|
DEN 50% | 106-103 | ✓ | |
 WAS
@
 MIL
|
MIL 77% | 114-113 | ✗ | |
 POR
@
 OKC
|
OKC 89% | 95-124 | ✓ |