‹ 2026-01-15 · 2025-26 season
BOS @ MIA
Boston Celtics
45% – 55%
pre-game win probability · home CI [26–82%]
Miami Heat
Result
BOS 119 — 114 MIA
Model favored MIA (55%) — upset ✗
| Team | Δ rating |
|---|---|
| BOS | +16.4 |
| MIA | -16.1 |
Season series
| Date | Matchup | Pre-game | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-19 | MIA @ BOS | BOS 69% | 116-129 |
| 2026-01-15 | BOS @ MIA | MIA 55% | 119-114 |
| 2026-02-06 | MIA @ BOS | BOS 76% | 96-98 |
| 2026-04-01 | BOS @ MIA | BOS 58% | 147-129 |