Games
Win probabilities from Glicko-2 ratings going into each game — 2026-01-15.
Closest matchup
BOS @ MIA · 55% MIA
Biggest favorite
SAS 84% vs MIL
Biggest upset
BOS won as a 55% underdog's opponent
| Matchup | Win probability | Result | Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 MEM
(neutral)
 ORL
|
ORL 59% | 111-118 | ✓ | |
 PHX
@
 DET
|
DET 66% | 105-108 | ✓ | |
 BOS
@
 MIA
|
MIA 55% | 119-114 | ✗ | |
 OKC
@
 HOU
|
OKC 64% | 111-91 | ✓ | |
 MIL
@
 SAS
|
SAS 84% | 101-119 | ✓ | |
 UTA
@
 DAL
|
DAL 61% | 122-144 | ✓ | |
 NYK
@
 GSW
|
GSW 61% | 113-126 | ✓ | |
 ATL
@
 POR
|
POR 69% | 101-117 | ✓ | |
 CHA
@
 LAL
|
LAL 82% | 135-117 | ✗ |