‹ 2026-04-12 · 2025-26 season
ATL @ MIA
Atlanta Hawks
55% – 45%
pre-game win probability · home CI [20–75%]
Miami Heat
Result
ATL 117 — 143 MIA
Model favored ATL (55%) — upset ✗
| Team | Δ rating |
|---|---|
| ATL | -20.5 |
| MIA | +20.5 |
Season series
| Date | Matchup | Pre-game | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-26 | MIA @ ATL | ATL 58% | 126-111 |
| 2026-02-03 | ATL @ MIA | MIA 70% | 127-115 |
| 2026-02-20 | MIA @ ATL | ATL 62% | 128-97 |
| 2026-04-12 | ATL @ MIA | ATL 55% | 117-143 |