Games
Win probabilities from Glicko-2 ratings going into each game — 2026-04-12.
Closest matchup
ATL @ MIA · 55% ATL
Biggest favorite
CLE 95% vs WAS
Biggest upset
MIA won as a 55% underdog's opponent
| Matchup | Win probability | Result | Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 ORL
@
 BOS
|
BOS 78% | 108-113 | ✓ | |
 WAS
@
 CLE
|
CLE 95% | 117-130 | ✓ | |
 DET
@
 IND
|
DET 83% | 133-121 | ✓ | |
 ATL
@
 MIA
|
ATL 55% | 117-143 | ✗ | |
 CHA
@
 NYK
|
NYK 71% | 110-96 | ✗ | |
 MIL
@
 PHI
|
PHI 80% | 106-126 | ✓ | |
 BKN
@
 TOR
|
TOR 88% | 101-136 | ✓ | |
 CHI
@
 DAL
|
DAL 61% | 128-149 | ✓ | |
 MEM
@
 HOU
|
HOU 92% | 101-132 | ✓ | |
 NOP
@
 MIN
|
MIN 82% | 126-132 | ✓ | |
 PHX
@
 OKC
|
OKC 90% | 135-103 | ✗ | |
 DEN
@
 SAS
|
SAS 76% | 128-118 | ✗ | |
 UTA
@
 LAL
|
LAL 93% | 107-131 | ✓ | |
 GSW
@
 LAC
|
LAC 79% | 110-115 | ✓ | |
 SAC
@
 POR
|
POR 82% | 110-122 | ✓ |