Games
Win probabilities from Glicko-2 ratings going into each game — 2026-04-10.
Closest matchup
GSW @ SAC · 52% SAC
Biggest favorite
SAS 96% vs DAL
Biggest upset
DET won as a 56% underdog's opponent
| Matchup | Win probability | Result | Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 DET
@
 CHA
|
CHA 56% | 118-100 | ✗ | |
 MIA
@
 WAS
|
MIA 74% | 140-117 | ✓ | |
 CLE
@
 ATL
|
ATL 57% | 102-124 | ✓ | |
 NOP
@
 BOS
|
BOS 90% | 118-144 | ✓ | |
 PHI
@
 IND
|
PHI 66% | 105-94 | ✓ | |
 TOR
@
 NYK
|
NYK 77% | 95-112 | ✓ | |
 ORL
@
 CHI
|
ORL 65% | 127-103 | ✓ | |
 MIN
@
 HOU
|
HOU 73% | 136-132 | ✗ | |
 BKN
@
 MIL
|
MIL 75% | 108-125 | ✓ | |
 DAL
@
 SAS
|
SAS 96% | 120-139 | ✓ | |
 MEM
@
 UTA
|
UTA 60% | 101-147 | ✓ | |
 OKC
@
 DEN
|
OKC 57% | 107-127 | ✗ | |
 LAC
@
 POR
|
POR 58% | 97-116 | ✓ | |
 GSW
@
 SAC
|
SAC 52% | 118-124 | ✓ | |
 PHX
@
 LAL
|
LAL 78% | 73-101 | ✓ |