nbaelo_
glicko-defaults Glicko-2

‹ 2025-12-15 · 2025-26 season

TOR @ MIA

Toronto Raptors
1508 ± 172
33% – 67%
pre-game win probability · home CI [37–90%]
Miami Heat
1544 ± 172

Result

TOR 106 — 96 MIA
Model favored MIA (67%) — upset ✗
TeamΔ rating
TOR+24.7
MIA-24.5

Season series

DateMatchupPre-gameResult
2025-12-15 TOR @ MIA MIA 67% 106-96
2025-12-23 TOR @ MIA MIA 64% 112-91
2026-04-07 MIA @ TOR TOR 63% 95-121
2026-04-09 MIA @ TOR TOR 66% 114-128