Games
Win probabilities from Glicko-2 ratings going into each game — 2025-12-15.
Closest matchup
DET @ BOS · 51% DET
Biggest favorite
MIA 67% vs TOR
Biggest upset
TOR won as a 67% underdog's opponent
| Matchup | Win probability | Result | Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 DET
@
 BOS
|
DET 51% | 112-105 | ✓ | |
 DAL
@
 UTA
|
UTA 63% | 133-140 | ✓ | |
 HOU
@
 DEN
|
DEN 65% | 125-128 | ✓ | |
 MEM
@
 LAC
|
MEM 53% | 121-103 | ✓ | |
 TOR
@
 MIA
|
MIA 67% | 106-96 | ✗ |