Games
Win probabilities from Glicko-2 ratings going into each game — 2026-03-03.
Closest matchup
DET @ CLE · 50% DET
Biggest favorite
MIA 87% vs BKN
Biggest upset
CLE won as a 50% underdog's opponent
| Matchup | Win probability | Result | Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 DAL
@
 CHA
|
CHA 85% | 90-117 | ✓ | |
 DET
@
 CLE
|
DET 50% | 109-113 | ✗ | |
 WAS
@
 ORL
|
ORL 83% | 109-126 | ✓ | |
 BKN
@
 MIA
|
MIA 87% | 98-124 | ✓ | |
 NYK
@
 TOR
|
TOR 52% | 111-95 | ✗ | |
 SAS
@
 PHI
|
SAS 62% | 131-91 | ✓ | |
 OKC
@
 CHI
|
OKC 77% | 116-108 | ✓ | |
 MEM
@
 MIN
|
MIN 86% | 110-117 | ✓ | |
 NOP
@
 LAL
|
LAL 78% | 101-110 | ✓ | |
 PHX
@
 SAC
|
PHX 71% | 114-103 | ✓ |