Games
Win probabilities from Glicko-2 ratings going into each game — 2026-03-04.
Closest matchup
POR @ MEM · 54% POR
Biggest favorite
LAC 88% vs IND
Biggest upset
ATL won as a 57% underdog's opponent
| Matchup | Win probability | Result | Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 OKC
@
 NYK
|
NYK 58% | 103-100 | ✗ | |
 CHA
@
 BOS
|
BOS 74% | 118-89 | ✗ | |
 UTA
@
 PHI
|
PHI 85% | 102-106 | ✓ | |
 POR
@
 MEM
|
POR 54% | 122-114 | ✓ | |
 ATL
@
 MIL
|
MIL 57% | 131-113 | ✗ | |
 IND
@
 LAC
|
LAC 88% | 107-130 | ✓ |