Games
Win probabilities from Glicko-2 ratings going into each game — 2026-03-05.
Closest matchup
NOP @ SAC · 53% NOP
Biggest favorite
MIA 88% vs BKN
Biggest upset
UTA won as a 66% underdog's opponent
| Matchup | Win probability | Result | Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 DAL
@
 ORL
|
ORL 81% | 114-115 | ✓ | |
 UTA
@
 WAS
|
WAS 66% | 122-112 | ✗ | |
 BKN
@
 MIA
|
MIA 88% | 110-126 | ✓ | |
 GSW
@
 HOU
|
HOU 76% | 115-113 | ✗ | |
 TOR
@
 MIN
|
MIN 72% | 107-115 | ✓ | |
 DET
@
 SAS
|
SAS 65% | 106-121 | ✓ | |
 CHI
@
 PHX
|
PHX 83% | 105-103 | ✗ | |
 LAL
@
 DEN
|
DEN 62% | 113-120 | ✓ | |
 NOP
@
 SAC
|
NOP 53% | 133-123 | ✓ |